Proyeksi Penduduk 2000-2025
  • Indonesia
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Jumlah penduduk hari ini  .:. Indonesia = 245,675,193 .:. Nanggroe Aceh Darussalam = 4,159,704 .:. Sumatera Utara = 13,828,465 .:. Sumatera Barat = 4,672,224 .:. Riau = 8,775,704 .:. Jambi = 3,129,684 .:. Sumatera Selatan = 7,768,177 .:. Bengkulu = 1,933,020 .:. Lampung = 8,304,315 .:. Kep. Bangka Belitung = 1,106,766 .:. DKI Jakarta = 9,146,716 .:. Jawa Barat = 45,586,082 .:. Jawa Tengah = 32,827,665 .:. DI Yogyakarta = 3,561,596 .:. Jawa Timur = 36,767,634 .:. Banten = 11,928,581 .:. Bali = 3,766,529 .:. Nusa Tenggara Barat = 4,994,135 .:. Nusa Tenggara Timur = 4,656,711 .:. Kalimantan Barat = 5,091,699 .:. Kalimantan Tengah = 2,712,667 .:. Kalimantan Selatan = 3,731,042 .:. Kalimantan Timur = 3,532,000 .:. Sulawesi Utara = 2,385,877 .:. Sulawesi Tengah = 2,850,111 .:. Sulawesi Selatan = 9,331,038 .:. Sulawesi Tenggara = 2,612,197 .:. Gorontalo = 933,100 .:. Maluku = 1,462,879 .:. Maluku Utara = 1,038,853 .:. Papua = 3,078,097
Home arrow 1. Introduction
Thursday, 23 October 2014
1.1 Background PDF Print E-mail

1.1 Background

Population data annually is needed especially planners, legislative makers, and researchers. In reality population data is available only periodically, that is the Population Census (SP) conducted in years ending with a 0 (zero) and the Intercensal Population Survey (SUPAS) conducted in years ending with the number 5 (five). Another source of population data is registration of citizens which is very limited and can not be used as a source for national development.

Commonly, all plans of development need to be supported with data on the number, distribution and structure according to population age which are relevant to planning. The data that is needed is not only data corresponding to the time of development but also information on conditions on past and more importantly future conditions. Population data in the past and present can now be accessed from the results of previous surveys and censuses, meanwhile to fulfill the need of population data in the future there needs to be a population projection such as estimation on population amount and composition in years to come.

Projection are not prediction or forecast, but are an indication of future demographic change built on assumptions about future patterns in fertility (births, mortality (deaths), and migration. These three components determine the number and age structure of population in forthcoming years. Assumptions from birth growth rate, mortality and migration in the future are made based on data that depicts past and current trends, factors affecting those three components and the relationship between one component and another and also the target or expectation in the future.

Statistics Indonesia (BPS) has several times made a population projection based on the results of the Population Census 1971, 1980, 1990, 2000 and Population Survey between Census (SUPAS) of 1985 and 1995. The last population projection that was completed is the population projection based on the Population Census of 2000 (SP2000). Population projections based on SP2000 only include the period of 2000 – 2010. For Medium Term Development Planning and Long Term Development Planning there needs to be data on population amount until the year 2025. Therefore, population projection needs to be prepared from the year 2010 until 2025. Data for this calculated projection is data from SP2000.

Indonesian population projection according to age, sex, and province that are provided in this publication are the final figures and covers twenty five years, starting from 2000 until 2025. Producing a projection with an extended time frame is intended so the results can be used for various requirements especially for long term planning. Data used to calculate these projections is mainly based on SP2000. Apart from that, to support and create past trends, and to decide on needed assumptions, calculating this projection also used data from previous population censuses and other population surveys. With the release of this publication, previous projections that were based on the same year with this publication are no longer valid.

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